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How the Fed’s Dot Plot, Political Pressures, and Tariffs Shape Rate-Cut Expectations and Market Reactions
“The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every quarter the financial universe ponders the FOMC’s dot plot as though it were a ...
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Fed dot plot reveals more divided central bank, but still points to two rate cuts in 2025
The Federal Reserve's latest "dot plot" outlining future interest rate moves suggests the central bank will still cut rates twice this year, unchanged from its March outlook, though June's forecast ...
The committee's median forecast for the federal funds rate shows a decline to only 3.4% by the end of 2026, a mere 0.2 percentage point drop from the 3.6% projected for year-end 2025. While 20 bps is ...
Fed officials see more rate cuts in the remainder of 2025 than they did previously—a shift that suggests they are growing increasingly worried about the economic outlook and the weakening labor market ...
The Federal Reserve marked down its 2025 interest rate outlook while keeping the following year's projection steady, with a softening labor market outweighing concerns about inflation re-accelerating, ...
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The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 and released policymakers' quarterly forecast of economic conditions that shows the potential outlook for further rate ...
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